The strategies
1. This strategy sets the initial retirement
income level at 80% of the pre-retirement income. After the first year, the
retirement income grows with inflation. This strategy is espoused by many
experts. They will recommend an initial level of between 70% and 90% of the
pre-retirement income. The theory behind this is that if one was saving 20% of
their income before retirement, once they are in retirement they will no longer
need to save that money and can live at the 80% level. In addition, some argue
that the income needs for retirees is less because they do not need business
clothes and have fewer expenses. Others argue that expenses may go up due to
travel and other new expenses.
2. There is a large body of research that
indicates that setting your initial retirement income at 4% of your retirement
portfolio and increasing it by inflation in subsequent years is a "safe"
strategy. "Safe" in this context has meant that over a 30-year retirement,
between 80% and 95% of the simulations result in a positive portfolio balance at
the end of retirement. (Reference: Bengen, William P. "Determining Withdrawal
Rates Using Historical Rates," Journal of Financial Planning, 1994.)
3. A modification to the 4% initial
withdrawal strategy has been proposed to protect the retirement portfolio in
periods with poor market performance. This strategy starts with an initial
withdrawal rate of 4%. In future years, the income level is determined by
withdrawing 4% from the retirement portfolio. The exception to this is if the
portfolio has a negative return in a year, then the income for the next year
will be set at 95% of the prior year's level. Future incomes return to the 4%
level. (Reference: Clyatt, Bob. "Work Less, Live More. The New Way to Retire
Early." Nolo Press, 2005.)
4. A refinement to strategy 2 above is made
to protect the portfolio by setting a ceiling and floor on retirement income.
The strategy says that the real income in any year should not fall more than 10%
below the initial retirement income level nor rise more than 25% in real terms
above that level. (Reference: Bengen, William P. "Conserving Client Portfolios
During Retirement, Part IV." Journal of Financial Planning, May 2001.)
5. An aggressive retirement strategy where
the income level is greater early in retirement and falls (in real dollars)
through retirement. This approach attempts to create a retirement which matches
Bureau of Labor Statistics that shows that expenditures decrease after age 55.
Although health care expenses rise, almost all other categories of expenses
decrease with an overall decrease of 44% through retirement.
6. A sophisticated retirement strategy uses
decision rules to regulate retirement income. This strategy sets the initial
withdrawal rate at 5.3% of assets. In future years, if the withdrawal rate
exceeds 6.36%, then the retirement income level is cut 10% to try to rescue the
portfolio. In periods when the portfolio has a negative return and the current
withdrawal rate is above the initial rate, then income is frozen at the prior
year's level. To give the retiree the benefit of good market performance, if
the current withdrawal rate falls below 4.24%, then a 10% raise in income is
given. (Reference: Klinger, William J., "Using Decision Rules to Create
Retirement Income Profiles." Journal of Financial Planning, August 2007.)
7. This strategy uses the safe withdrawal
rates identified by researchers and uses them to reset income levels throughout
retirement. In this strategy, the initial withdrawal rate is set at a "safe"
rate and then rises by inflation for four years. Every fifth year, the
withdrawal rate is reset to the safe rate for that age. To help mitigate risk,
if the market falls in the first five years, then the withdrawal rate is reset
at 4%. The strategy, as proposed by Stein and DeMuth also calls for a
particular asset allocation. (Reference: Stein, Ben and Phil DeMuth. "Yes, You
Can Retire Comfortably!" New Beginnings Press, 2005.)
8. This is a complicated strategy designed to
stretch out limited retirement assets. At the beginning of retirement, 15% of
the retirement assets are invested and set aside for the purchase of an income
annuity at age 85. The remaining assets are invested and withdrawn at a rate of
1/n were n is 85 minus the retiree's age. (Reference: Clements, Jonathan. "How
to Survive Retirement", The Wall Street Journal, January 17, 2007.
9. Many advisors recommend annuitizing
retirement assets. In this strategy, 50% of the retirement assets are used to
purchase an income annuity. The remainder of assets are invested and money is
withdrawn in future years as necessary to maintain the initial real level of
income. In addition, the asset allocation is changed over time to be more
conservative. (Reference: Updegrave, Walter. "An Income Plan That's Built to
Last." money.cnn.com, April 19, 2007.)
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